Why GOP Won’t Back Trump

I think I get it now. Why would the GOP insist on backing a man who has never garnered more than 25% of GOP voters in any primary? Why back a man who is “O-for” in every primary (no wins) and probably will not win his home state of Florida over Trump?

Rubio has no executive experience, no business experience, can’t manage his own finances and tends to panic in crunch time. We all know why Cruz will never get the backing (i.e. everyone who has ever worked with him really, really dislikes him), but why not Rubio? Although Trump’s rhetoric and style is crass and harsh, his targets as likely to be Republican as Democrat. If a blowhard like Christie can destroy Rubio in a debate, how would he ever withstand the Clinton attacks? Dems would much rather face Rubio than Trump.

Rubio’s policy positions are just as extreme as Trump’s. If either one actually does what they propose, it would be equally as disastrous for the country (e.g. both Rubio’s and Trump’s tax plans would nearly triple the deficit in one year). But we all know that these extreme positions are just red meat for an essentially sub-cortical Republican base: say the right words and they respond. No rational human being would actually do what they say they will do, and no rational human being believes them either. So what gives?

The answer is as simple as this: control. They can’t control Trump. The political class and the donor class both know who they can control. They know that Trump is just as likely to cut a deal with Congressional Democrats as he would with Republicans to get what he wants from Congress. Congressional Republicans know this — and so do their donors. You can’t work with a man you can’t buy and who has an alternative means to get the job done. Trump doesn’t need either party because he is just as prone to use either party.

Rubio, on the other hand, has a history of taking the positions of the highest bidders and of backing down and falling in line. He follows script. His history on Immigration Reform is illustrative of this quality. Once a supporter of compromise, he now can’t back away fast enough from his own legislation. He is a hollow suit … a bella figura. What both Sanders and Trump represent is an existential threat to the control that the same forces exert over both parties.

What to do if Trump wins, but Bernie doesn’t???

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: